On a daily basis Kathy and I independently make an exhaustive study of the weather forecast by looking at 10 day high resolution GFS GRIB models, but now that cyclone season is upon us we need to take our study to a higher level. I found the following web pages and links helpful in the ongoing study.
Goal: To understand the factors that contribute to the day to day formation of a Tropical Cyclone. I quickly found that Tropical Cyclones are more likely to develop in association with Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), so this has become a major point of study.
Cyclone tracks from 1985-2005
Tropical Carcinogenesis http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclogenesis
Madden-Julian Oscillation: http://www.bom.gov.au/watl/about-weather-and-climate/australian-climate-influences.shtml?bookmark=mjo
Bob McDavit Weathergram http://weathergram.blogspot.com
Weekly tropical climate note (MJO) and ENSO
MJO monitoring http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/mjo/
MJO Update http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjoupdate.pdf
Global Tropical Hazard outlook http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghazards/index.php
ENSO wrap up http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
Links leading to more questions http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/carl/weather/index.html
Improved version of above and even more questions http://monitor.cicsnc.org/mjo/current/