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High windage Oyster float |
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High windage dock |
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Dangerous low windage boat |
The International Pacific Research Center (IRPC) Tsunami debris model is based upon wind and ocean currents and should give a good indication of where all that Tsunami junk is going. Items with lots of windage, like styrofoam blocks or Oyster floats scud quickly across the surface and have long since washed up on the beaches of North America. Neutrally buoyant objects are those with 0% windage and driven solely by oceanic currents and may take many many years to reach North America if they don't sink first.
Animation showing 0% windage items
The IPRC Tsunami debris models conveniently includes items ranging from 0% to 5% windage, so we can better understand the potential location of the slow moving junk. In summary, it looks like we have a pretty clear track from the Marshall Islands to Alaska by May/June 2014.
For more great info check out: http://iprc.soest.hawaii.edu/news/marine_and_tsunami_debris/IPRC_tsunami_debris_models.php
All photos courtesy of IRPC.
Animation showing 0% windage items