Friday, November 09, 2012

Tropical Cyclone notes for the South Pacific

On a daily basis Kathy and I independently make an exhaustive study of the weather forecast by looking at 10 day high resolution GFS GRIB models, but now that cyclone season is upon us we need to take our study to a higher level. I found the following web pages and links helpful in the ongoing study.

Goal:  To understand the factors that contribute to the day to day formation of a Tropical Cyclone.  I quickly found that Tropical Cyclones are more likely to develop in association with Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), so this has become a major point of study.

                                                         Cyclone tracks from 1985-2005

Tropical Carcinogenesis 

Madden-Julian Oscillation:

Every Sunday

Bob McDavit Weathergram

Every Monday  

Weekly tropical climate note  (MJO) and ENSO

MJO monitoring

MJO Update 

Global Tropical Hazard outlook

ENSO wrap up

Links leading to more questions

Improved version of above and even more questions